The number crunchers at the NFL have figured out that the Miami Dolphins, for the first time since I can remember, control their own destiny, when it comes to the playoffs.
If the Fins win their final two games, against the Buffalo Bills in Buffalo and the New York Jets at Sunlife Stadium, they are guaranteed the 6th and final AFC Wildcard playoff spot.
Try to follow me here:
This is because the Cincinnati Bengals lost to Pittsburgh last weekend. We've been talking so much about the Baltimore Ravens, who have the edge over Miami after beating them earlier in the season, vying for that Wildcard spot.
But the Ravens could take the AFC North division title from Cincy, by defeating the Bengals in the NFL's final week. That would give Baltimore the advantage in a head-to-head tie-breaker. If that happens, Cincinnati could not have a record that's better than 10-6.
If Miami wins out, they will be 10-6 and the Dolphins beat the Bengals in October, giving our team the head-to-head tiebreaker against them.
If the Ravens lose that game to the Bengals, the best they could be at the end of the season is 9-7. With Miami at 10-6 (having won their last two games), that would send the Fins into that final Wildcard spot.
There is also an outside shot that Miami could still become AFC East division champs, but that would involve New England losing its final two, which we all know isn't going to happen.
Sorry if I made your head spin, it took me some time to understand too, but the bottom line is this:
Miami controls its own destiny and beating the Bills and Jets (both teams with losing records) is all they have to do to get into the playoffs for the first time in years.
By the way, Miami has won three of their last five games in Buffalo. They play there on Sunday at 1 pm.